福尔摩斯：基本演绎法

Elementary S06E06

Part 4 Feb. 12, 2020, 11:02 a.m.

of testing a sensitive... upgrade
做一个精密的升级测试
to some of our technology.
很可能是对现在的
Likely an upgrade to the current
核导弹指令和控制网络的升级
nuclear missile command and control network.
新闻有报道称网络升级
It's been reported in the news that an upgrade
正在筹备阶段
to the network is in the works,
这是明智之举因为现在运行系统的电脑
and that's a wise move, given that the computers
都是七十年代的老古董
currently running the system are dinosaurs
还在用8英寸的软盘
from the 1970s that still use eight-inch floppy disks.
我们现在需要了解的是我们遭到了多大的破坏
What we need to know now is-- how compromised are we?
据我们了解安藤遭受了拷打
It's our understanding that Ando was tortured.
他供出了什么吗
Did he give anything up?
我们不清楚
We're not sure.
你们知道他的小拇指吗
But did you know about his pinky?
他的小拇指怎么了
What about his pinky?
我们不知道他佩戴了这个
We had no idea he was wearing this.
他有权限接触所有东西
He had access to everything--
所有电脑所有文件
every computer, every file...
如果假设我们准备对我们的导弹控制网络
If we were-- hypothetically-- testing an upgrade
做升级测试
to our missile control network,
整个新操作系统
our entire new operating system
都可能在那个闪存盘上
could be on that flash drive,
现在闪存盘不见了
and now it's missing.
我有个疑问
I got one question.
不要做假设性回答
No hypotheticals.
情况有多糟
How bad is this?
你们控制的核武器安全吗
The nukes you control-- are they safe?
百分百安全
A hundred percent.
我们测试的系统目前还未连接到任何基地
The system we were testing isn't linked to any other bases yet.
但我们只能将我们的项目暂时搁置
But we'll have to put a hold on our project,
至少等到我们弄清楚那个盘上究竟有什么
at least until we know exactly what's on that drive
以及它目前的下落
and where it landed.
万一数据落入了敌方手中呢
What if the data is in enemy hands?
那整个系统就需要从头开始重新设计
Then the whole system would need to be redesigned from scratch.
我们会浪费数年时间更不用提数十亿美元了
We'd lose years, not to mention billions of dollars.
有什么消息吗
Any news?
有我是说没有
Yes, by which I mean "No."
据我们最爱的黑衣人
According to our favorite Man in Black,
国安局探员麦克纳利所说还没有
Agent McNally of the NSA, there's been no chatter
安藤东的小拇指或其中关于
about Ando Azuma's pinky or its contents
世界互联内部或者暗网内容的消息
on the world's inter-, intra- or dark nets.
可能是拿到它的人因为某种原因仍在观望
Could be whoever has it is sitting on it for some reason.
或是我们的凶手和他的潜在客户
Or our killer and his prospective buyers
极其谨慎
are being extremely discreet.
我觉得我们还应该去查下另一个可能性
There is one other possibility I think we should look at.
你出门的时候消防局长
So, while you were out, the fire marshal
发布了她对安藤家起火案件的初步报告
issued her preliminary report on the fire at Ando's.
她不认为凶手是为了掩盖痕迹而纵火
Now, she does not think that the killer set the fire to cover his tracks,
这场火灾更有可能是场意外
but rather it was an accident.
"起火原因是无人看守炉上在烧的锅"
"The fire was the result of an unattended pan on the stove."
她推测安藤东让杀手进屋时
She theorizes that Ando Azuma was cooking
正在做饭
when he let the killer into his house.
没有人关火
With no one to turn down the heat,
锅中的油引发了大火
the oil in the pan caught fire.
如果她的结论无误也就是说
Now, if she's right, it would mean
凶手将安藤的尸体留在那等别人发现
that the killer left Ando there to be found,
那会让人更容易发现
which would have made it easier for someone to realize
他的假肢不见了
that his prosthetic was missing,
也就让人更容易弄清
which would've then made it easier
那假肢的真正面目
to figure out what it really was.
他的空军雇主将迅速关闭
His Air Force employers would've shut down
升级程序
their upgrade that much sooner,
意味着不管是谁得到了那个小指
meaning whoever possessed the pinky
都不再能黑入美国的
would no longer be able to hack America's
核导弹系统而不被发现
nuclear missile system with impunity.
这不禁让我想到
Which got me thinking--
要是他们的真实意图不是黑入系统呢
what if hacking the system wasn't the point?
要是杀手想要的就是关闭系统呢
What if all the killer wanted was to shut it down?
根据一些专家的研究
So, according to some experts,
军方目前使用的70年代的系统
the '70s-era system that the military currently uses--
被称为"遗留技术"
it's called "Legacy tech"--
比任何现代迭代系统都要安全
is safer than any modern replacement
因为它对黑客入侵基本免疫
because it's basically immune to hacking,
所以有很多人
so there are plenty of people
根据这一理念反对升级
who oppose the upgrade on principle.
"没坏勿修"群体
The "If it ain't broke, don't fix it" crowd.
反对升级者中有一人尤为突出
One of the upgrade opponents stood out.
一个自称为"自♥由♥之树"的博客主
A blogger who calls himself Tree-Of-Liberty.
他把这次升级称为"毫无杀气"
He calls the upgrade "Murderously incompetent."
你越往下看
The more you read,
就越觉得他听起来像一个可能会
the more he sounds like someone who might kill
为了保护我们的核安全而杀人的人
to protect our nuclear security.
如果是他杀了安藤东
If he killed Ando Azuma,
他就得先知道东的存在
he would first have to have known that Azuma existed,
也就是说他也参与了升级行动
and that would suggest he was involved in the upgrade somehow.
我也是这么想的所以我查了下
I thought the same thing, so I looked for insiders
反对此次升级的内部人士我发现了这个
who argued against the upgrade, and I found this.
是《空军公志》上的一篇社评
It's an op-ed from the Air Force Ledger
撰写人是阿瓦罗将军
by a General Alvero.
看我用高亮标注的内容
So that highlighted phrase--
"一种对美国未来构成威胁的事物"
"An existential threat to America's future"--
这句话也出现在了自♥由♥之树的两篇博文中
also appears in two of Tree-Of-Liberty's posts.
我还发现了其他重合的内容
I found other repetitions, too.
你认为阿瓦罗和自♥由♥之树
You think Alvero and Tree-Of-Liberty
是一个人
are one and the same?
我觉得当他发现自己的社评没有反响
I think, when his op-ed didn't change anyone's mind,
就创造了自♥由♥之树来发表更激进的言论
he created Tree-Of-Liberty to get more aggressive.
当这招也没奏效
And when that didn't work,
他就杀了安藤东让事态升级
he killed Azuma to derail the upgrade.
像你说的这得在他知道安藤东的前提下
Like you said, it only works as a theory if he knew about Ando.
我请警监去联♥系♥空军了
I asked the captain to reach out to the Air Force,
看看阿瓦罗和空军基地
see if Alvero had any connection
以及升级事件有无联♥系♥
to the base or the upgrade.
运气好的话很快就能有答复
With any luck, we'll hear back soon.
你还是没跟我说
You know, you still didn't tell me
警监昨天想干什么
what he wanted yesterday, the captain.
那是我们的私人谈话
It was private.
你该明白这并不能消除我的担忧
Well, you can see how that doesn't alleviate my concerns
我还是担心他在查我
that he was checking up on me.
我可以自己去问他
Look, I'll just go and ask him myself.
他是想谈汉娜的事
He wanted to talk about Hannah.
他女儿
His daughter?
几天前
A couple of nights ago,
她跟他说自己有酒瘾
she told him that she is an alcoholic.
她在参加互助会
She's going to meetings,
还拿到了30天戒酒纪念章但是
and she even has her 30-day chip, but...
警监觉得自己被蒙在鼓里他十分自责
the captain felt blindsided, and he blames himself,
他想谈谈以后该怎么做
so he wanted to talk about what he should do next.
他收到回复了
He heard back from
就是我们之前面谈过的那个迪金斯中校
the lieutenant colonel we talked to-- Deakins.
阿瓦罗将军不仅在她的基地驻扎
So, not only is General Alvero stationed at her base;
他还是她的上司
he's her boss.
我们的计算机犯罪小组认为
Our Computer Crime Squad thinks it's gonna be
顺着自♥由♥之树的博客
pretty easy to trace Tree-Of-Liberty's blog
将会容易查到你家的电脑将军
to your home computer, General.
除非你想说
So, unless you want us to think that
是你妻子或是未成年的女儿认为
it's your wife or teenage daughter who holds the view that
"参谋长联席会议成员应该被自己的血淹死"
"The Joint Chiefs can drown in their own cuck blood..."
我手♥机♥里有照片
I have photos in my phone.
能证明我没杀安藤东
They'll prove I didn't kill Azuma.
如果我出示照片你们得保证