骗局（2021）

这可以扑灭火焰。
Now, the head of a British climate research institute has
现在，英国一家气候研究机构的负责人已经
stepped aside after leaked emails were said to suggest that the
辞职，因为据说泄露的电子邮件表明
case for global warming had been exaggerated.
全球变暖的情况被夸大了。
Phil Jones, at the University of East Anglia, will relinquish
东安格利亚大学的菲尔·琼斯(Phil Jones)将辞去
his duties while an independent review is carried out.
他的职务，同时进行一项独♥立♥审查。
Our environment correspondent, David Shukman...
我们的环境记者大卫·舒克曼…
There are more stolen emails. No,I... I'm saying there's a lot more.
还有更多被盗的邮件。 没有，我... 我是说还有很多。
Almost 200,000 in total.Shit! 200...?
总共近20万。混♥蛋♥！20万...?
So, the really odd thing, that they left the cache on the server.
奇怪的是，他们把缓存留在了服务器上。
Which is almost like they, well...
这就好像他们，嗯…
I guess it's almost like they wanted us to know. What are you saying?
我猜他们好像想让我们知道。 你在说什么啊？
Well, it means that CRU wasn't
这说明CRU并不是
the only climate unit that was attacked.
唯一受到攻击的气候研究所。
There were more hacks? Attempts.
还有更多的黑客袭击吗？ 更多的企图。
CRU was the onlysuccessful breach.
CRU是被他们成功突破的一个。
What were the other attempts?
那其他的企图呢？
OK, so, persons unknown posing as network technicians tried to
好吧，一些不明身份的人假扮成网络技术人员，试图
gain access to climate science offices at the University
进入不列颠哥伦比亚省维多利亚大学的
of Victoria, British Columbia.
气候科学办公室。
And there were attempts to access the servers at the Canadian
有人试图进入加拿大
Centre for Climatology and Analysis, the National Center
气候学与分♥析♥中心、科罗拉多州的
of Atmospheric Research in Colorado,
国家大气研究中心的服务器，
and an attempted unauthorised entry
有人试图未经授权进入
to the computer systems at the State Department Climate Bureau.
美国国♥务♥院♥气候局(State Department Climate Bureau)的计算机系统。
And when, when was all this?This is all in the last 12 months.
这一切都是在什么时候发生的？这都是过去12个月的事。
You do know he's the victim?
你认为他是受害者吗？
It's his emails that were stolen.
被偷的是他的邮件
It's him that's being dragged through the papers.
被媒体曝光的是他。
Why aren't you going after who did this?
你为什么不追究是谁干的？
I realise this must be upsetting. No-one's getting the truth.
我知道这一定让人心烦意乱。没人知道真♥相♥。
Just what they read, what they hear.
就是他们读到的，听到的。
Where are you going? Justdown to the station. We just... Why?
你要去哪里？ 去趟局里。 我们有点儿... 为什么？
We need to print the statement and have it signed immediately.
我们需要立即打印这份声明并签字。
Well, use our bloody printer!Ruth, it's fine.
那就用我们那台该死的打印机吧！露丝，没事儿的。
We'll be 30 minutes, I promise.
我保证30分钟后回来。
This hockey stick graph, the one that you
这个曲棍球杆图，你在采访中
mention in the interview, why is it so important exactly?
提到的那个，为什么它这么重要呢?
Well, it's...
它是...
It's a reconstruction of global temperature, a...
这是全球温度数据模型的重建，一个…
..a window into the past, I suppose, back 1,000 years.
...我想是，显示过去1000年气候的窗口。
All these are decades here.
这里的只是几十年。
That is the handle of the stick.
这是球杆的手柄部分。
And here, in the 19th century, when industrialisation takes off,
这里，在19世纪，当工业化起飞时，
erm, up until now, that's the...
嗯，直到现在，这是...
..erm, that's the blade, when temperatures increase dramatically.
..这是击球面部分，这时温度开始急剧上升。
This is your work?Well, I contributed.
这就是你的工作？这是我的贡献。
CRU was the first unit to be dedicated to the
CRU是第一个专门研究
subject of climate change.
气候变化问题的部门。
We devoted more time than anyone else to...
我们比别人更花功夫去致力于
..to, erm...gather the temperature data.
收集温度数据。
It's not just from across the world, but from across time.
它不仅来自世界各地，而且来自不同的时间。
Wow.
哇。
From before we had thermometer readings, erm...
在我们有读数温度计之前，呃..
..historical, erm, records, ships' logs.
..历史上的，呃，有记录的，记载在航海日志的。
And then even further back, er, proxy data, such as tree rings
再往前，代替数据的，我们采用诸如树木年轮啦，
and ice cores. I saw the tree rings on the walls of your office.
还有深层冰核啦。 我在你办公室墙上看到了树木年轮标本。
They're beautiful.
它们是很美丽的。
Well, we... Erm...
那我们就...
..all of that, the proxy and historical data goes into the graph.
...利用这些代替的或者记录的数据，绘成模型图。
That's... It, erm...
就这..它能..
..helps make the past...
..帮助恢复过去的...
..readable.
..使之能被读出来。
Best get you home, yeah.
最好送你回家。
Thank you.
谢谢你。
Who's doing this, Trevor? Who knows?
这是谁干的？特雷弗。 谁知道？
Plenty of vested interests would like Copenhagen to fail.
许多既得利益者希望哥本哈根大会失败。
I know why they're doing it to us, though.
不过我知道他们为什么要这么对我们。
The hockey stick graph.Yes...?
那个曲棍球杆图型。怎么了...?
The one showing the rise in global temperatures?
显示全球气温上升的那个?
Yeah, CRU's work has been keystone to that graph.
是啊，CRU的工作对那张图表起了关键作用。
I mean, it was meant to be the final word in the debate.
我是说，这本该是辩论的最终定论。
The science behind it is complex,
它背后的科学是复杂的，
though the way it conveys it is simple, it cuts through the noise.
尽管它传达信息的方式很简单，它能消除杂论非议。
That's what the sceptics don't like.
这正是怀疑论者不喜欢的。
Ever since it was published, they've known, if they're to keep
自从这篇文章发表后，他们就知道，如果他们想让
the debate going, they have to cast doubt on the hockey stick.
这场辩论继续下去，他们就必须对曲棍球棒提出质疑。
Crafty buggers.
一帮小人。
Sorry. That was a long one.
对不起。这是一个漫长的电♥话♥。
Must have done over 20 interviews now.
我现在肯定做了20多个采访。
It's like speaking into a storm.
这就像在暴风雨中说话。
No-one can hear us.
没人能听到我们。
Or wants to.
或是说，没人想听。
We're being drowned out by a sigh of relief.
我们被一声如释重负的叹息淹没了。
Relief?
如释重负？
Well, imagine if you woke up tomorrow to be told you don't
想象一下，如果你明天醒来，被告知你不必
have to worry about climate change.
担心气候变化。
Millions of dollars have gone into the denial campaigns.
数百万美元被投入到否认运动中。
And most of it to achieve exactly this,
大部分都是为了达到这个目的，
to make the science seem uncertain.
让科学看起来不确定。
It's been going on for years,
自从我们第一次开始
ever since we first started talking about actually doing
讨论采取实际行动应对全球变暖以来，这种情况已经
something about global warming.Which was when, exactly?
持续了很多年。具体是什么时候？
Oh, late '80s. So those campaigns...
哦，80年代晚期。 所以这些运动...
..essentially, they bought themselves time with those millions.
..实际上，他们用那几百万美元为自己争取了时间。
They've had decades to prepare a receptive environment.
他们用了几十年的时间，来进行铺垫
Whoever hacked into us...
不管谁在黑客我们...
All they had to do was release those emails in the right places
他们要做的就是在恰当的地方发布这些邮件
and sit back and watch.
然后就坐在幕后观看。
They've had 20 years to prepare for this. We've had days.
他们已经准备了20年。我们只有几天。
We need crisis management advice.
我们需要危机管理建议。
It's a straight choice. Duck it or fight it.
这是一个直接的选择。要么躲避，要么对抗。
But how do we fight it if the world wants Phil and the data
但如果这个外界想要菲尔和数据，而我们又不能提供，
and we can't provide either.
我们又该如何应对呢?
OK, well, if Phil can't do the interviews, then you have to.
好吧，如果菲尔不能接受采访，那你就得接受。
What about the independent inquiry?
那独♥立♥调查呢？
No-one gets hacked for the sake of it. There's always intent.
没人会因此被黑。总是有决心。
The UN Climate Conference, the COP, it opens next week, right?
联♥合♥国♥气候大会，COP，将于下周开幕，对吗？
Yes. So, it's a strategy.
是。 所以，这是一种策略。
Someone's decided to take positive action to...
总得有人决定采取行动...
We don't actually know if that's the case. Nothing's a coincidence.
我们不知道是不是这样。 没有这么巧的事。
Sow doubt where there's certainty,
在有确定性的地方播种怀疑，
apply a minor inconsistency to the entire evidence, discredit
在整个证据上使用轻微的不一致，诋毁
a group of people, muddy the debate,all to achieve policy outcry.
一群人，搅浑辩论，所有这些都是为了实现政策抗♥议♥。
It's hardly new.
这个手段并不新鲜。
Straight out of the tobacco companies' playbook
这与烟草公♥司♥在烟草和癌症问题上
when they were stalling for time on cigarettes and cancer. Mm.
拖延时间的做法如出一辙。 嗯。
Other interest groups have used the same strategies around
其他利益集团也在杀虫剂、臭氧空洞、
pesticides, the ozone hole, acid rain.
酸雨等问题上使用了同样的策略。
It's not like we haven't seen these tactics before. No.
我们以前又不是没见过这种战术。 是的。
Never with the internet. The blocks.
那时还没有互联网。博客。
Yeah, that IS new. I'll admit there's no playbook for that.
是的，这是新生事务。我承认这是要与时俱进的。
Look...
听着...
This isn't going to be easy.
这并不容易。
For a start, you're a...white,middle-aged, posh man. Hm.
首先，你是个中年、时髦的白人。是啊。
It's going to be hard for you to go on TV and come across as likeable.
你很难在电视上表现得讨人喜欢。
Yes...
是的...
Yes, I see.
是的，我明白。
It's your only choice.
这是你唯一的选择。
Do nothing now...
如果现在什么都不做...
..that's as good as being guilty.