战前37天（2014）

Is this it? This is it, Foreign Secretary.
就是这个吗 就是这个 外交大臣
Crowe's already here? He arrived 20 minutes ago, sir.
克劳已经来了吗 他20分钟前就到了 先生
Oh, for God's sake.
老天啊
Sorry your weekend has been ruined, sir.
很遗憾你的周末时光被毁了 先生
Well, yours too, Alec.
你也一样啊 埃里克
Austria's mad.
奥地利简直是疯了
I should issue a communique saying just that.
我要发布一则公告 就这么评价他们
Good afternoon, Foreign Secretary.
下午好 外交大臣
"Britain says Austria mad. Official!"
"英国称奥地利疯了 官方声明哦"
I was embarrassed to read the Serb note.
我读着塞尔维亚的照会都觉得丢人
It was like seeing a servant cringe.
就像看着一个奴仆畏缩顺从
It was submissive.
确实很顺从
Serbia has agreed to practically every demand Austria makes of her.
塞尔维亚几乎答应了奥地利提出的每一项要求
And gets this in return!
结果得到的却是这个
It's a grotesque diplomatic exchange, Foreign Secretary.
真是古怪的外交现象 外交大臣
What does Austria want? I mean, what does she want?
奥地利到底想怎么样 她到底有何企图
It is sometimes better to forget everything we think we know
有时候 不如抛开我们自以为很清楚的事
and look instead at what is, er, staring us in the face.
转而去考虑 眼前正在进行的状况
Austria doesn't want to talk.
奥地利根本不想和谈
She wants a war in the Balkans.
她想在巴尔干半岛发动战争
I want to speak to that idiot Mensdorff.
我想跟那个蠢货门思多夫再谈一谈
Get the Austrian Ambassador.
把奥地利大使叫来
Yes, sir.
好的 先生
I tell you, it's not often you see the Foreign Office in disarray
我可以告诉你们 外♥交♥部♥陷入混乱是很少见的
'but it was this day.
但这一天的情况确实如此
Four weeks ago, we discovered that the Archduke Franz Ferdinand,
4周前 我们得知弗兰茨·斐迪南大公
heir to the Austrian throne,
也就是奥地利皇位的继承人
had been assassinated while on a visit to Sarajevo in Bosnia.
在访问波斯尼亚的萨拉热窝时被杀害
The assassin, Gavrilo Princip,
行凶者加夫里洛·普林西普
was a Serb nationalist 'who believed that acts of terror
是个塞尔维亚民族主义分子 他深信恐怖行为
'would drive the Austrians out of the Balkans.
可以将奥地利人从巴尔干半岛赶出去
But...student fanatic? A nonentity?
但他只是个狂热的学生 一个无足轻重的人物吗
Is this important enough to disturb the Foreign Secretary?
你觉得这事重要到足以去叨扰外交大臣吗
No. What position would Britain take
不重要 如果奥地利和塞尔维亚发生冲突
if a conflict would break out between Austria and Serbia?
英国会选择什么立场
'Well, I suppose it doesn't take much to set the Balkans on fire.
看来巴尔干半岛的局势一点即燃
In Berlin, it was frantic too.
在柏林 局势也相当狂乱
Austria was our ally
奥地利是我们的盟国
and Franz Ferdinand was a personal friend of our Kaiser.'
而弗兰茨·斐迪南与德皇陛下私交甚笃
There's no crime greater.
简直是罪大恶极
The Habsburg Empire had been crumbling for years
哈布斯堡帝国多年来一直摇摇欲坠
and now the Kaiser said that had to stop.'
德皇决定 这一情况必须到此为止了
Serbia must learn to fear the Habsburgs again.
塞尔维亚必须再次对哈布斯堡皇室心怀敬畏
The Kaiser told our Austrian friends to punish the Serbs.
德皇陛下要求奥地利严惩塞尔维亚
They sent a long list of demands instead.
他们却列出了一长串的要求
We got them in London.
我们伦敦方面收到了这封照会
What extreme demands they were.'
真是过分至极的条款
This is an astonishing ultimatum.
这份最后通牒令人震惊
It was obvious to everybody
每个人都觉得 很显然
that Serbia could not meet those demands.
塞尔维亚不会答应这些要求的
That in fact, they were designed to be rejected.
实际上 这份通牒就是故意让塞方拒绝
But then, Serbia did meet them,
但之后 塞尔维亚竟然答应了全部要求
'only to find that the Austrians were still not satisfied.
结果却发现奥地利方面仍然不满意
And that's why the Austrian ambassador had been
所以今天早上奥地利大使
summoned to the Foreign Office this morning.
才又被召进了外♥交♥部♥
You ought to be wearing body armour.
你该穿件防护衣才对
I want an explanation.
我想听听贵国的解释
Austria is unhappy with the Serbian
奥地利对塞尔维亚
response to our list of demands
就各项要求做出的回应感到不满意
and therefore has issued an ultimatum.
因此发出了最后通牒
I said I want an explanation,
我说了我想听听你们的解释
not a reiteration of the absurd
而不是复述过去的12小时里
sequence of events of the last 12 hours.
发生的一连串荒谬之事
Austria is unhappy. That is the explanation.
奥地利很不满 我们的解释就是这样
Were you surprised by the compliance of the Serbian government?
你们对塞尔维亚政♥府♥的屈从感到惊讶吗
But we don't see it as a compliance.
但我们并不觉得那是屈从
They will extradite any government official you wish to charge
他们同意引渡任何一个被你们指控为
in connection with the assassination.
与行凶者有关联的政♥府♥官员
Censor their newspapers, overhaul their school curriculum,
审查报纸 修改教科书
punish anyone who denigrates your royal family.
严惩任何诋毁贵国皇室的人
Er, do you want me to go on?
你还要我继续说下去吗
We see these things more like...cosmetic.
我们觉得这些都只是 表面上的
But you asked for them!
但这就是你们提出的要求
And you didn't expect them to comply, did you?
你们根本没想到他们会答应 对吧
Let me remind you of how post-Napoleonic diplomacy works.
我想提醒一下你后拿破仑时代的外交之道
Are you listening?
你有在认真听吗
I am all ears.
我洗耳恭听
We statesmen, we occasionally conceal things from each other,
我们这些政客 偶尔都会相互隐瞒一些东西
we dissemble, we act hypocritically
我们隐藏真心 做出虚伪的表现
when consistency or sincerity would be either dangerous or hurtful.
因为实诚有时可能很危险或令人痛苦
We don't always tell the whole truth,
我们并不总会将真♥相♥和盘托出
but we don't exactly lie.
但我们也不会完全撒谎
But what we've never done is pretend the other fellow is a fool.
但我们从未做过的事就是 把其他伙伴当做傻瓜
Or that black is white when everyone can see that it isn't.
冒天下之大不韪 把黑的说成白的
Because if we did that, the whole system,
因为一旦我们那样做 整个体系
the concert that has kept the peace in Europe,
让欧洲长♥期♥保持和平
kept even the superannuated Austrian Empire afloat...
甚至是让老迈的奥地利帝国延续下来的支撑力
would begin to break down.
都会开始瓦解
We don't regard it as compliance.
我们并不认为那是屈从
You must have loved the Archduke Franz Ferdinand. We did.
你们一定很爱弗兰茨·斐迪南大公吧 是的
I mean, really loved him.
我是说 非常非常爱他
He was the heir to our throne.
他是皇位继承人
Heir to the throne! He was despised in Vienna.
皇位继承人 他在维也纳完全是被人轻视的
His poor Czech wife even more so.
他那可怜的捷克妻子更是被人厌恶
They treated her like a waitress.
他们把她当侍应生一样
Look, I'm serious. They did.
我是说真的 真实情况就如此
I thought you said the Serbs had bent over backwards.
你之前不是说塞尔维亚完全屈服了吗
Vienna wants humiliation.
维也纳方面想羞辱他们
And bending over backwards isn't humiliating?
完全屈服之辱还不够吗
You should try it one day, Winston.
你哪天也该亲自试试 温斯顿
And if I were you, I'd start watching Russia now.
如果我是你 就该好好盯着俄♥国♥的动静了
Humiliating little Serbia is one thing.
羞辱塞尔维亚是一回事
Humiliating her protector is quite another.
羞辱她的保护国就是另外一回事了
She's right about that.
她说的很对
Be careful of Winston. He's smelling blood.
当心点温斯顿 他现在一触即怒
Why is Vienna suddenly unafraid of Russia?
为什么维也纳方面突然不再畏惧俄♥国♥了
That is the question. I disagree.
那才是问题所在 我不同意
With what?
有何证据
I think it's the wrong question.
我觉得不该问那个问题
You don't want to hear my answer.
你不会想听到我的答案的
Oh, yes. I know your answer.
不 我知道你的答案
Which is that Austria is acting as if Russia doesn't exist,
奥地利现在的所为 就像俄♥国♥根本不存在一样
because she's already taken out an insurance policy in Berlin.
因为她已经有了来自柏林方面的担♥保♥
An insurance policy?
担♥保♥
You think Austria and Germany are in cahoots over this?
你认为奥地利和德国在这事上结成同伙了吗
Your evidence?
你的证据呢
Winston, I can see what Edward's getting at.
温斯顿 我明白爱德华想说什么
We don't yet know what the Germans think of this latest development
我们尚不清楚德国对事情的最新进展是什么态度
and it's always been a point of principle in this country
本国向来遵循的一个准则就是
not to reduce everything to the workings of the alliances.
不要让一切都取决于盟国的动作
That way the logic of war always gets the upper hand.
那样的话 开战的想法就会处于上风
It's my sense that Austria cannot see
我觉得奥地利无法跳出来
beyond her quarrel with Serbia.
看待自身与塞尔维亚的争端
It's what happens to great powers when they shrink.
大国衰落 势力范围缩小之后就是这样的
The world shrinks with them
就像世界也随他们缩小
and then they cease to think about consequences.
然后他们就不去考虑后果了
You don't believe that Austria's alliance
你觉得奥地利和德国结成同盟
with Germany means anything?
没有什么重大意义吗
Don't be obtuse, Winston. No-one has said that.
别傻了 温斯顿 没人这么说过
I would like to propose a round-table conference here in London,
我想在伦敦举♥行♥一次圆桌会议